Wautoma, WI
Current Conditions
0:10 AM CST
Rain
Temperature
48°F
Dew Point
48°F
Humidity
100%
Wind
SSE at 6 mph
Barometer
29.43 in. F
Visibility
2.50 mi.
Sunrise
07:02 a.m.
Sunset
04:24 p.m.
Afternoon Forecast (12:00pm-7:00pm)
Temperatures will range from 47 to 40 degrees with cloudy skies. Winds will range between 6 and 11 miles per hour from the south. Rain amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch are predicted.
7-Day Forecast
Sunday
47°F / 35°F
Light Rain
Monday
35°F / 22°F
Light Rain/Snow
Tuesday
29°F / 17°F
Partly Cloudy
Wednesday
29°F / 11°F
Light Snow
Thursday
17°F / 7°F
Partly Cloudy
Friday
32°F / 14°F
Snow
Saturday
17°F / 8°F
Partly Cloudy
Detailed Short Term Forecast
Issued at 0:10 AM CST
Sunday...Temperatures will range from a high of 47 to a low of 35 degrees with cloudy skies. Winds will range between 1 and 18 miles per hour from the northwest. 0.72 inches of rain are expected.
This Evening ...Temperatures will range from 39 to 41 degrees with cloudy skies. Winds will range between 1 and 6 miles per hour from the east. Expect rain amounts between a quarter and half of an inch.
Overnight ...Temperatures will range from 40 to 36 degrees with cloudy skies. Winds will range between 10 and 18 miles per hour from the northwest. Rain amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch are predicted.
Monday...Temperatures will range from a high of 35 to a low of 22 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. Winds will range between 14 and 19 miles per hour from the westnorthwest. Less than 1 tenth inch of rain is possible. Less than 1 inch of snow is possible.

How to tame the wild milk market

June 2, 2014 | 0 comments

At 4:30 p.m. on the last business Friday of each month, dairy farmers across the country have 27 hours to decide whether to insure their milk income in a volatile market.

"Milk prices can double or fall by half in any given year," said Brian Gould, associate professor of agricultural and applied economics at University of Wisconsin-Madison.

He pointed to the 1995 change in the way milk is priced as the culprit that has forced dairy producers to become experts in risk management just to stay solvent. Gould's unique, award-winning website gives them a powerful decision-making tool.

"Add to the mix the Renewable Fuel Standards program that now claims 40 percent of the corn crop for ethanol, and you have big fluctuations in the price of feed as well," he said. A drought in New Zealand can profoundly stimulate the export market for U.S. dairy products, while drought at home raises the cost of feed and other inputs. "A bushel of corn before RFS cost $2.50, but during the drought of 2012, corn rose to $7.70, which made milking cows a lot more expensive."

In 2008, the USDA Risk Management Agency responded to price volatility with a new type of insurance to help dairy farmers protect their bottom line: the Livestock Gross Margin for Dairy (or LGM Dairy) program.

Knowing how complex a set of variables would be in play to administer such a program, Gould and his colleague, Victor Cabrera, set out to help both insurers and farmers figure it out.

"In the first years, we ran workshops all over the country for crop insurers, who didn't know how to design policies for this new program," he said. "Now we're helping farmers from Vermont to California."

Gould's website offers daily updates on the futures prices of feed and fluid milk, which are used to determine LGM-Dairy insurance premiums. A web-based decision tool lets operators estimate future dairy income, feed costs and insurance premiums under alternative insurance deductible levels. It's also a boon for insurers.

"Without the LGM Dairy website, we would be in the dark ages," said insurance agent Ronald Mortensen."We use the calculator designed and maintained by Dr. Gould extensively to show producers what the estimated premium will be for LGM Dairy. I also use the website to review and test past performance of the LGM product. Our customers, the dairymen, use the calculator to estimate premiums and also estimate potential indemnities due them."

Another agent commented that the website "actually allows agents and clients real insight into how milk margin can be managed."

Gould's LGM Dairy Analyzer is unique in the country and is used nationwide each month. In 2012, his Understanding Dairy Markets website won the Outstanding Electronic Media Education award from the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

"We're the go-to site in the country for dairy producers who need a few extra weeks to analyze the terms of contracts before deciding whether and how much insurance to purchase," Gould said.

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